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thucyd19Joshua Rovner
(Associate Professor in the School of International Service at American University. He is the author of Fixing the Facts: National Security and the Politics of Intelligence (Cornell, 2011), and writes widely about intelligence and strategy).

Copyright: https://warontherocks.com/2017/12/thucydides-long-war-problem/ Publication at RIEAS web site (www.rieas.gr) on 15 December 2017

Editor’s Note: This is the fifth installment of “The Brush Pass,” a new column by Joshua Rovner (@joshrovner1) on intelligence, strategy, and statecraft.

Is there anything left to say about Thucydides?

In a year dominated by concerns over modern technologies — ballistic missiles, nuclear warheads, and cyber weapons — scholars have spent a remarkable amount of time arguing about a very old conflict. Thucydides’ classic history of the Peloponnesian War documents the catastrophic fight between Athens and Sparta from 431–404 BC. It was a horrendous affair. Conventional combat, gruesome disease, mass murder, and civil war tore apart the fabric of the ancient Greek world. The post-war was chaotic, violent, and impoverished. Read more

fraagosphotoFragoulis S. Fragos
( Ret-General, Greece)

Copyright: http://greece4greeks.blogspot.gr/
Publication at RIEAS web site (www.rieas.gr) on 4 December 2017

Honorable Minister,

Your Excellency the Ambassador of the United States of America,

Dear Ladies and Gentlemen, good evening.

Energy is not only difficult to find but it is the driving force behind political developments and re-alignments. All wars were fought due to competing interests, and this holds even truer for larger conflagrations. The most important of these were primarily triggered by the struggle over energy resources. ..Read more

terrorattack91by Maria Polizoidou
(Reporter, broadcast journalist, and consultant on international and foreign affairs, is based in Greece. She has a post-graduate degree in "Geopolitics and Security Issues in the Islamic complex of Turkey and Middle East" from the University of Athens)

Copyright: https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/11438/greece-terrorism - December 3, 2017.

European democracies in the Mediterranean are in danger of being swept away by a tsunami of uncontrolled immigration. We cannot allow this. Our societies cannot stand it. The European Union itself cannot stand it... [More than] one million 'foreigners' passed then [2015] through Greece and ended up in various countries of the European Union, mainly in Northern and Central Europe. Some of them were real refugees, from Syria and Iraq. But most of them were illegal immigrants from other countries of the world. Today it is estimated that the true refugees that are still coming are 20% of the total or fewer. The rest are illegal immigrants." Read more

balkansphoto81Dr. Ian Hope
(Col Dr Ian Hope is a Researcher at the NATO Defense College. His research interests include Strategy, Military Planning, Military Theory and the History of War, as well as Balkans and European Security Issues. The views expressed in this paper are the author’s and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the NATO Defense College or the North Atlantic Treaty Organization)

Copyright: Copyright: http://www.ndc.nato.int - Research Division –NATO Defense College, Rome, Italy, No. 142, November 2017.

The Warsaw Summit affirmed Alliance interest in and commitment to many geographic regions and nations, without stating priorities. The Western Balkans drew attention, with Serbia, Kosovo and Montenegro receiving specific mention in the Summit Communiqué.2 However, the Summit promoted a continuance of current NATO activity in this region, not a shift or amelioration. Implicit in this is that the status quo, a small NATO force in Kosovo to enhance security and several liaison offices to monitor partnership activity and the application of the Membership Action Plan in the other Western Balkans states, is sufficient. This paper will argue that such efforts are too small and disjointed to meet the growing challenges in the region, especially given NATO’s obligation to conflict prevention in the wake of its significant and successful interventions there in 1996 and 1999. Read more

atlanticphotoBY ASHISH KUMAR SEN
(Deputy director of communications at the Atlantic Council, USA)

Copyright: http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/here-s-why-us-commitment-to-the-western-balkans-matters Publication date on RIEAS web site (www.rieas.gr) on 3 December 2017.

The United States and the European Union (EU) must deepen their engagement with the Western Balkans, a region where Russia, Turkey, and wealthy Arab Gulf states have extended their influence and that is considered integral to realizing the idea of a Europe that is whole, free, and at peace, speakers and panelists said at the Atlantic Council on November 29. Read more

austriamapMax Hess
(Senior political risk analyst with the London-based AEK international, specializing in Europe and Eurasia).

Copyright: Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) Publication date: 21 October 2017

Note: The article reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily the views of the Re-search Institute for European and American Studies (RIEAS).

Sebastian Kurz, 31, is likely to become Austria’s new Chancellor following the 15 October election. He would be the youngest-ever head of government in the European Union and many of his supporters will be seen as a bold new face ready to lead Europe through and past the ongoing crises over migration, integration, fiscal authority, and identity that have dominated European politics, within and without the EU, in recent years. A new leader of Europe’s populist right is likely on the horizon, yet he has received little international attention compared with candidates such as Marine Le Pen or Nigel Farage who were always long shots...Read more

uscongress17United States Department of the Treasury August 18, 2017

Copyright: https://www.treasury.gov/ - Publication date: (www.rieas.gr) on 10 September 2017

Introduction

This report provides an assessment of the likelihood that a precautionary International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan to Greece, approved in principle in July 2017, will be repaid in full. For the program to become effective – and thus for any potential disbursement of IMF financing to occur – the IMF Executive Board must take a second decision confirming that Greece remains on track with policy reforms under the program, and that there are credible and specific commitments from Greece’s European partners to provide requisite debt relief so that public debt becomes sustainable under the IMF’s analysis. Read more

balkan50Cameron Munter
(Board of Contributors)

Copyright:https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/crisis-brews-balkans-west-looks Publication date at RIEAS web site: 1 September 2017

Insight, analysis and commentary from Stratfor’s Board of Contributors and guest contributors who are distinguished leaders in their fields of expertise.
In the first six months of U.S. President Donald Trump's administration, five foreign policy challenges have dominated the national and international spotlight. China's expanding economic and military role, Russia's tenuous relations with Europe and the Middle East, ongoing wars in Afghanistan and Syria, threats stemming from North Korea and Venezuela, and Europe's future amid rising populist movements in the United Kingdom and France have taken center stage among the world's policymakers. .. Read more

chinagrflagsRoie Yellinek
(Doctoral student in the department of Middle East studies at Bar-Ilan University, Israel)BESA Center Perspectives Paper No. 523, July 9, 2017

Copyright: https://besacenter.org/ - Publication date on RIEAS web site (www.rieas.gr) on 10 July 2017.

China and Greece have an almost entirely one-sided economic relationship. China’s deep involvement in Greece is part of a long-term strategy to achieve control of the marine paths from China to the EU. This strategy means China is willing to invest and take part in the rehabilitation of Greece – but there will be a price to be paid for this. Read more

balkan65Pakistanisation as the Final Solution for the Balkans?

Zlatko Hadžidedić
(Assistant Professor at the Sarajevo School of Science and Technology, Bosnia-Herzegovina. He received his PhD from the University of Sarajevo, Faculty of Political Science, his MPhil from the London School of Economics and Political Science and MA from the Central European University, Budapest. He served as political adviser to several Bosnian ministers and political leaders. His book Forced to be Free. The Paradoxes of Liberalism and Nationalism was published in 2012 by Deutscher Wissenschafts-Verlag (DWV).

Copyright: Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) Publication date: 7 May 2017

Note: The article reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily the views of the Research Institute for European and American Studies (RIEAS).

A few days ago Observer published a column under the title Putin-Proofing the Balkans: A How-To Guide, written by John Schindler. In this article the author advocates some new geopolitical redesigns of the Balkans which are actually far from being a novelty...Read more

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