What can intelligence producers and users learn from contemporary intelligence warning cases to anticipate, prepare for, mitigate and prevent future security challenges?
A multiple case-study of contemporary intelligence warning (2006-2023)

Features a broad spectrum of traditional and non-traditional intelligence problems, ranging from invasions and wars, through terrorist attacks and hybrid warfare, to pandemics, financial crises, climate change, strategic acquisitions, and attacks on cultural heritage

Identifies lessons and practical recommendations for the producers, users and observers of intelligence warning, and for theory

Contemporary Intelligence Warning Cases presents lessons learned and recommendations for producers and users of intelligence warning in their joint venture to anticipate, prepare for, mitigate and prevent future threats to national security.

It presents and synthesizes the findings of 16 contemporary intelligence warning case studies undertaken by leading intelligence scholars and former intelligence practitioners. It is the first multi-case study of intelligence warning and adopts a uniquely broad and contemporary approach to the phenomenon, featuring both successful and failed cases. Consistent with the increasing complexity of intelligence problems and scope of intelligence services, it ranges from traditional warning problems such as invasions and wars, through terrorist attacks, to threats that lie beyond the traditional core scope of intelligence services such as pandemics, financial crises, climate change, strategic acquisitions and attacks on cultural heritage. Read more

“Covert Action - National Approaches to Unacknowledged Intervention”

Magda Long, Rory Cormac, Genevieve Lester, Mark Stout, and Damien Van Puyvelde, Editors

A comparative international perspective challenges conventional narratives about unacknowledged intervention

"Covert action" is generally understood as politically motivated and plausibly deniable interference by one state in the affairs of another state. It includes propaganda, political or economic subversion, paramilitary action, and assassinations. Covert action is the most consequential and controversial form of secret statecraft, and it has become a ubiquitous feature of international politics. However, it is often sensationalized or seen through a narrow, US-centric lens.

Covert Action challenges this conventional narrative and redefines secret statecraft by offering a groundbreaking comparative international perspective that explores the practice of unacknowledged intervention across twenty countries and a range of eras. Bringing together leading scholars from around the world, this volume moves beyond the American, and wider, anglosphere perspectives to examine covert action practices across states, regime types, and time. Read more

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This scholarly work is a superb compilation and analysis of the public record concerning the Chinese Communist Party’s espionage activities against the rest of the world and the United States in particular. Most important it goes well beyond the “what” has happened and provides insight into the how and why of this activity. The reader should be aware that a noted expert in the field has provide a synthesized review of all the available information. It is a glimpse at what is happening around the world. There are more facts understood by those with appropriate security access and much more is known only to the senior levels of the CCP and its operatives. -- Richard Haver, former Assistant Secretary of Defense for Intelligence, former DCI Deputy for Community Affairs, and Chief of Staff, National Intelligence Council. Read more

No country in history has been more deeply penetrated by spies than divided Germany after the Second World War. Fighting for the eastern corner were the 'first class comrades' of the Stasi – the East German Ministry for State Security. Rising from the ruins of a defeated country, and guided by its KGB masters, the early Cold War saw the Stasi establish itself as one of the world's most notorious spy and secret police agencies. These were years of fierce ideological battles, overshadowed by Joseph Stalin and his East German acolytes. At home the Stasi crushed dissent, using brutal – and increasingly crafty – methods to prop up a government that had no mandate to govern. The Berlin Wall was built and the borders sealed. At the same time, dramatic and fascinating spy warfare broke out. The Stasi learned to infiltrate foreign countries – including in the developing world – and to combat vigorous attempts by the west to spy on, and subvert, the German Democratic Republic. Gripping, intelligent and packed with information, First Class Comrades shines a light on this lesser-known period of Stasi history, and why its stories and lessons still matter today. Read more

Dr. John M Nomikos, RIEAS Director, delivered a speech at the Chelian War College on “Senior Military Leadership and Warfare in the 21st Century: Security and Military Threats in the Eastern Mediterranean and Terrorist Networks Connections with Latin America” on 15 November 2024.

Copyright@ https://www.amazon.in/Reimagining-India-Geopolitics-21st-century/dp/8195595812

This book is about an inquiry into whether India was able to put its best foot forward and use the international system. What type of choices has India made with little or no available options? How has it changed the imagination of millions of Indians who looked up to India’s performance in the international system? What type of adjustments has it made in twenty-first century geopolitics? Is India taking calculated risks or blindly going along the wind? Has India’s time international system arrived? These are some of the significant questions this book has attempted to answer. Time and again, several policymakers and scholars have spoken about India being among the nations with a young population. This young generation is going to decide the fate of the nation-state, and their voices and understanding of India’s foreign policy are significant. It is significant because it is about creating a critical mass of independent thinkers who can shape India’s strategic culture. They can inspire millions of people in India and elsewhere what they think about India’s foreign policy. The 23 scholarly chapters of the book, authored by 22 IR experts, have been divided into six sections: India as a world power, India and International Agencies, The China Challenge, India and West Asia, India and South Asia and Defense and Technology. India today is an emerging player in multilateral institutions and different forums. Leaders from Latin America, Africa, Asia, and Australia, apart from great power powers in international politics have hailed PM Narendra Modi’s leadership and the forthright approach of EAM Dr S Jaishankar. India is seen as a power to reckon with, not just because it has a powerful military, emerging economy and stable political regime, but because its intention is Vasudaiva Kutumbakam and Loka Samastha Sukhino Bhavantu. With this intention, this book explores the policy choices of the government and the way forward for India and the world. Read more

Daniel Pipes is a prominent historian and commentator on Middle Eastern affairs. He has taught history at Harvard University and the University of Chicago, served on the State Department's Policy Planning Staff under President Reagan, administered Fulbright Fellowships, and founded the Middle East Forum. Pipes is recognized as one of Harvard University's 100 most influential living graduates and has authored nineteen books, including In the Path of God, Greater Syria, and The Rushdie Affair.



Copyright @ https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0D6G71ZFT?ref=cm_sw_r_cp_ud_dp_0XZF8QSVKEWRVFF3KTFB&ref_=cm_sw_r_cp_ud_dp_0XZF8QSVKEWRVFF3KTFB&social_share=cm_sw_r_cp_ud_dp_0XZF8QSVKEWRVFF3KTFB

The Palestinian-Israeli conflict will come to an acceptable conclusion only with a Palestinian sense of defeat.

A leading historian applies his deep understanding of the Middle East to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict—the most intractable, emotive clash of the past century. Daniel Pipes argues that this long struggle pits two unique and doomed mentalities that exist outside of normal politics against each other, making it so difficult to comprehend. One mentality consists of rejectionism, or the Palestinians’ negation of Jews, Judaism, Zionism, and Israel. Rejectionism accounts for their enduring goal of genocide, their refusal to take yes for an answer, their unwillingness to seek improved living circumstances, and their determination to defame the Jewish state. The other mentality consists of conciliation, or the Zionists’ attempt to win Palestinian acceptance not by defeating their enemy, but by enriching and placating it. Pipes argues against this anomalous Zionist approach, advocating instead the traditional method of ending a war— through victory: Palestinians give up, Israel wins. In a brilliant essay that brings surprisingly fresh insights and original policy recommendations to a well-worn topic, Pipes draws lessons from past “peace process” failures, delves into the universal nature of defeat and victory, and offers practical advice on how Israel can win: through minimal violence and maximal messaging.

Both sides need an Israel Victory to break with the static pull of outdated mentalities. For Israel, it means acceptance, especially among Muslims and on the global Left. For the Palestinians, Israel Victory means liberation from a destructive obsession, enabling them finally to build a polity, economy, society, and culture worthy of their skills and ambitions. Read more

Copyright @ https://www.amazon.com/Lifting-Fog-Intelligence-1912-2022-Professional/dp/1538176238

Lifting the Fog: The Secret History of the Dutch Defense Intelligence and Security Service (1912-2022) is unique as a general body of knowledge about the history of the Dutch intelligence and security services since 1913. The chapters alternate between a general historical overview and a number of case studies spread out over the more-than-a-century long history that taken together give a good insight into the main functions of a middle-size military intelligence service as The Netherlands has known. The MIVD is giving the author access to the archives of the MIVD and its predecessors, which normally are closed to outsiders. Read more

Copyright @ 2024 https://press.georgetown.edu/Book/Intelligence-in-Democratic-Transitions

A groundbreaking comparative analysis of three understudied cases of intelligence democratization revealing new insights into main barriers to reform when states transition from authoritarianism
Reforming the intelligence services is essential when a state transitions from authoritarianism to democracy. But which areas should be reformed, how do we know when there has been real transformation, and how and where do authoritarian legacies persist?

Intelligence in Democratic Transitions is a comparative examination of the democratic transitions of Portugal, Greece, and Spain starting in the 1970s. Although these three countries began their transitions around the same time, they present significantly different results. Sofia Tzamarelou discovers that main barriers to reform are legacies of the past and legacy personnel. She does this through the lens of five Security Sector Reform (SSR) indicators: Lustration, Control and Oversight, Recruitment, Targeting and Civil Society. Tzamarelou uses primary sources throughout the study, including governmental documents and legal statutes–such as draft laws, bills and presidential decrees–paired with “outside” primary source reporting, such as analysis reporting by the CIA. She complements this rich primary source material with secondary sources from authors in each country and internationally who specialize in intelligence or who provide historical context.

Tzamarelou’s unique comparative analysis of intelligence democratization using a common framework–SSR–applied to each country contributes to readers’ understanding of why and how some reforms fail and others succeed and how the SSR framework can be used in the intelligence arena. Read more

Copyright@ Springer Nature Switzerland AG; 1st ed. 2020 edition (26 January 2021)

This book analyzes intelligence relations in an unsecure world and provides contributions on intelligence processes, interstate intelligence relations and hybrid warfare. Tactical, operational and strategic intelligence relations, both within and between intelligence agencies, and between states, are essential to support decision makers. This book ties together how intelligence adapts to security changes, global power shifts and the trend from globalization to a more nationalistic approach. During such changes, there is a need to analyze intelligence sharing relationships. Bringing together practitioners and academics, the book presents a plurality of approaches relative to intelligence relations that seek to advance the debate in the field. Read more

Copyright @ Antonio Grasso 2023

Antonio Grasso is the Author of the book titled “Toward a Post Digital Society: Where Digital Evolution Meets People’s Revolution” (2023). Antonio Grasso is a distinguished expert with over 40 years of experience in Information Technology. His book is a master piece for everyone that wants to understand the evolutionary challenges which we will face in our lives in the coming decades. I recommend research scholars from all academic fields to read Antonio Grasso book!

John M. Nomikos, Director, Research Institute for European and American Studies (RIEAS), Athens, Greece. Read more