mal8Shaul Shay
(Senior research fellow at the International Institute for Counter-terrorism (ICT) at the Interdisciplinary Centre Herzliya and former deputy head of Israel’s National Security Council)

Copyright: @ 2023 Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) Publication date: 3 December 2023

Note: The article reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily the views of the Research Institute for European and American Studies

The Hamas terror organization launched an unprecedented attack on Israel on October 7, 2023, under the name "Al-Aqsa Flood". Hamas fired a rocket barrage of at least 3,000 rockets into Israel and Hamas terrorists crossed the border with Israel. Around 1200 Israelis were killed and 240 were taken hostage. Following the violent attack by Hamas, Israel launched operation "Iron Swords" and declared a state of war. ... Read more

threat7Shaul Shay
(Senior research fellow at the International Institute for Counter-terrorism (ICT) at the Interdisciplinary Centre Herzliya and former deputy head of Israel’s National Security Council)

Copyright: @ 2023 Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) Publication date: 18 November 2023

Note: The article reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily the views of the Research Institute for European and American Studies

The terrorist attack by Hamas on October 7, 2023 surprised Israel and allowed the terrorist organization to massacre about 1200 Israelis, most of them civilians, and to kidnap about 240 Israelis as hostages and hold them in the Gaza Strip. In response to the October 7 attack, Israel launched operation "Iron Swords" aiming to annihilate Hamas and release the Israeli hostages.... Read more

kemerd91In the same way Atatürk dragged Turkey struggling and screaming into the Western world, Erdogan has exerted every effort to drag Turkey in the opposite direction

Robert Ellis
(Turkey analyst and commentator. He is also an international advisor at RIEAS (Research Institute for European and American Studies) in Athens)

Copyright @ 2023 https://nationalinterest.org/feature/turkey-faces-inflection-point-207199

Note: The article reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily the views of the Research Institute for European and American Studies

On October 29, Turkey celebrated the centenary of the Turkish republic, but there was not much celebration as far as the ruling AKP (Justice and Development Party) was concerned. The AKP, which came to power twenty-one years ago, was more concerned with burnishing its own credentials almost without reference to the republic’s founder, Mustafa Kemal Atatürk. Of the nine posters produced by the Directorate of Communications, only one, “From the Past to the Future,” referred to Atatürk, where he figured on the left side of the poster with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on the right....Read more

usnavy2Shaul Shay
(Senior research fellow at the International Institute for Counter-terrorism (ICT) at the Interdisciplinary Centre Herzliya and former deputy head of Israel’s National Security Council)

Copyright: @ 2023 Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) Publication date: 22 October 2023

Note: The article reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily the views of the Research Institute for European and American Studies

The Pentagon said on October 19, 2023, that the USS Carney destroyer shot down three land-attack cruise missiles and several drones launched by the Iran backed Houthi rebels from Yemen heading north along the Red Sea, towards targets in Israel. 

The USS Carney an Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer, was patrolling in the northern Red Sea as part of a heavily reinforced US military presence ordered by President Joe Biden to maintain stability in the wake of war between Israel and the Hamas in the Gaza Strip. President Biden has warned Iran and its regional allies repeatedly and clearly not to get involved in Israel's war with Hamas.[ Ibid. ] ...Read more

isr96By Glen Segell

(Professor at the University of Cambridge, and Visiting Professor and Research Fellow in the Department of Political Studies and Governance at the University of the Free State, South Africa. He is also Research Fellow at the Ezri Center for Iran & Gulf States Research, University of Haifa, Israel, and Editor of The Middle East Tracker and The London Security Policy Study. He is a Member of the Board of Directors of the Western Galilee College and serves as an Executive Advisory Board Member of the International Political Studies Association Research Committee on Armed Forces and Society. He holds the rank of Brigadier-General (Reserves) and is an expert for NATO STO)

Copyright: @ 2023 Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) Publication date: 11 October 2023

Note: The article reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily the views of the Research Institute for European and American Studies

Introduction

One of the biggest dilemmas facing any army in the defense of a sovereign state is the difference between forecasting and predication. Prediction involves estimating an outcome with a high level of certainty, usually based on historical data and statistical modeling. Forecasting involves projecting future developments but with a certain level of uncertainty due to external factors that may impact the outcome. It is like the difference between climate and weather.... Read more

hosdip7Shaul Shay
(Senior research fellow at the International Institute for Counter-terrorism (ICT) at the Interdisciplinary Centre Herzliya and former deputy head of Israel’s National Security Council)

Copyright: @ 2023 Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) Publication date: 24 September 2023

Note: The article reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily the views of the Research Institute for European and American Studies

On September 18, 2023, U.S. and Iran finalized a prisoner swap after two years of negotiations through Qatar and Oman. Iran released five detained Americans accused of espionage in exchange for five Iranian nationals charged with sanctions violations and other federal crimes. In addition, Iran was given access to about $6 billion of funds previously held in South Korea. President Biden thanked the governments of Qatar, Oman, Switzerland and South Korea for their assistance in securing the releases.[ Henry Rome, The Iran Hostage Deal: Clarifying the $6 Billion Transfer, The Washington Institute, Policy Watch 3784, September 18, 2023.]... Read more

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